Will women catch up to their fertility expectations?

Chen, Anqi, and Nilufer Gok. “Will women catch up to their fertility expectations?”. Issue in Brief 21-6, Chestnut Hill, Mass.: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, March 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:109233.
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Abstract

The brief's key findings are: The record low U.S. fertility rate is raising concerns about future population prospects. Will it bounce back? Many see hope in the "expectations" data. Although today's women in their 30s have had only 1.3 children, in their early 20s they expected to have more than two. Will they catch up? The analysis examined an older cohort of women and used the results to predict how today's women in their 30s will fare. The results suggest that their completed fertility will be 1.96, just a bit below the replacement rate level.  However, the longer-term prospects are less encouraging: women currently in their 20s expect to have fewer children, so completed fertility may be lower for them, and COVID could depress it further.

Title
Will women catch up to their fertility expectations?
Author
Chen, Anqi
Gok, Nilufer
Center
Center for Retirement Research
Genre
report
Date Issued
March 2021
Publisher
Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
Series Title
Issue in Brief
Series Number
21-6
Persistent Link
http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:109233
Use Restrictions
These materials are made available for use in research, teaching and private study, pursuant to U.S. Copyright Law. The user must assume full responsibility for any use of the materials, including but not limited to, infringement of copyright and publication rights of reproduced materials. Any materials used for academic research or otherwise should be fully credited with the source. The publisher or original authors may retain copyright to the materials.
Subject
Financing Retirement

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