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Munnell, Alicia Haydock. “Social Security’s financial outlook”. Issue in Brief 15-12, Chestnut Hill, Mass.: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, July 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:104561.
The brief's key findings are: (1) The 2015 Trustees Report shows little change from last year: (a) Social Security's 75-year deficit declined modestly from 2.88 percent to 2.68 percent of payroll. (b) The deficit as a percent of GDP remains at about 1 percent. (c) Trust fund exhaustion moved back slightly from 2033 to 2034, after which payroll taxes still cover about three quarters of promised benefits. (2) The shortfall is manageable, but action should be taken soon to restore confidence in the program and give people time to adjust to needed changes. (3) In addition, the disability insurance program needs immediate attention, as its trust fund is expected to be exhausted next year.